Wisconsin vs Lowa: Iowa (3-0) hosts No. 16 Wisconsin (2-1) in the Big Ten opener for both teams Saturday night at Kinnick Stadium. The Badgers are 3-point favorites and have won five of the last six in the Heartland Trophy series.
Wisconsin is a 3-point road favorite in Iowa at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Since opening as a 6-point road favorite, Wisconsin is all the way down to -3 as early betting action came in on the Hawkeyes.
The Badgers plummeted 12 spots in the AP Top 25 after suffering a shocking loss to the BYU Cougars at home last Saturday as 23.5-point home favorites. The loss was Wisconsin’s first against a non-conference opponent since 2003, and it dropped the Badgers’ ATS record in 2018 down to 0-3.
There is still time for Wisconsin to bounce back from this loss with a strong run through the Big Ten, but any room for error on the season is long gone.
Wisconsin is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last four road games against Iowa per the OddsShark College Football Database. The Badgers have won these four games by an average of 7.5 points per game.
Iowa took care of business as an 18-point favorite last Saturday against Northern Iowa with a 38-14 win to improve to 3-0 SU and ATS on the season.
The Hawkeyes’ identity revolves around its stingy defense, and this season should be no exception with the team allowing only eight points per game through the team’s first three games. In its last 20 games as a home underdog Iowa is 14-5-1 ATS with eight outright upsets.
Saturday night’s total is set at 43.5 points. The UNDER is 7-1 in Wisconsin’s last eight road games coming off consecutive home games.
The Hawkeyes avoid regular season meetings with Ohio State, Michigan, and Michigan State this season. With an upset win over Wisconsin on Saturday, Iowa could realistically enter its late October road game against Penn State at 7-0. The Badgers hope to spoil this scenario and to kick off their conference record the right way with a road win.
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